The Unraveling

This hyperdocument explains why I believe that civilization will collapse before the end of this century.

Past Unravelings
     The Unraveling at the End of the Bronze Age
     The Unraveling of Classical Civilization

False Alarms

How Societies Unravel
   Asabiyah, solidarity, social capital
   Trigger events

Systems of Increasing Complexity

Community Memory


Death at many different scales
   Cells
   Multicellular Creatures
   Species
   Societies
   Civilizations

A likely course to the unraveling of civilization
   Climate change as the underlying force
   Differential costs of climate change
   Climate change refugees
   Likely trigger events
   Violence